All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
11th Hour Invitational |
Conference indiana |
Columbus North Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
South Knox Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Monroe County Meet |
Bedford North Lawrence Sectional |
Bedford North Lawrence Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
Date | |
8/20 |
8/27 |
9/3 |
9/10 |
9/17 |
9/17 |
9/24 |
9/27 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
10/29 |
Team Rating |
449 |
430 |
442 |
458 |
395 |
543 |
|
419 |
467 |
565 |
463 |
469 |
488 |
Team Adjusted Rating | |
430 |
442 |
458 |
352 |
543 |
|
419 |
467 |
565 |
463 |
469 |
488 |
State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
11th Hour Invitational |
Conference indiana |
Columbus North Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
South Knox Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Monroe County Meet |
Bedford North Lawrence Sectional |
Bedford North Lawrence Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
77 |
Andrew Warren |
11 |
16:28 |
16:19 |
16:09 |
16:15 |
15:57 |
16:37 |
|
16:25 |
16:30 |
17:04 |
16:17 |
16:44 |
16:57 |
178 |
Isaiah Hollars |
10 |
16:53 |
16:38 |
16:48 |
17:07 |
16:27 |
16:51 |
|
16:48 |
16:47 |
17:34 |
16:56 |
16:54 |
16:57 |
259 |
Paul Rushton |
9 |
17:09 |
17:04 |
17:30 |
17:29 |
16:51 |
17:23 |
|
16:56 |
17:13 |
17:13 |
17:08 |
17:04 |
17:11 |
418 |
Ben Iovino |
11 |
17:29 |
17:45 |
17:51 |
17:26 |
|
18:53 |
|
17:41 |
18:14 |
17:37 |
17:33 |
17:33 |
17:21 |
437 |
Andy Vilardo |
12 |
17:32 |
17:26 |
17:02 |
17:19 |
17:18 |
17:54 |
|
17:16 |
17:25 |
17:41 |
18:16 |
17:36 |
17:44 |
778 |
Jake Talbert |
9 |
18:01 |
19:29 |
18:30 |
|
18:10 |
18:11 |
|
17:47 |
17:49 |
17:45 |
|
17:58 |
18:14 |
801 |
Sean Coleman |
12 |
18:03 |
18:03 |
18:23 |
18:19 |
|
18:02 |
|
18:00 |
17:52 |
18:04 |
|
|
|
820 |
Miles Main |
11 |
18:04 |
18:30 |
18:55 |
18:42 |
18:01 |
18:04 |
|
17:56 |
17:56 |
|
17:46 |
17:55 |
18:19 |
823 |
Peter Gordillo |
12 |
18:04 |
|
|
18:05 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,072 |
Henry Streib |
9 |
18:23 |
18:08 |
18:26 |
18:40 |
18:30 |
17:59 |
|
17:46 |
18:19 |
|
20:37 |
|
|
1,336 |
Nathaniel Dixon |
9 |
18:41 |
19:58 |
18:35 |
19:00 |
18:33 |
19:04 |
|
18:32 |
18:21 |
|
|
|
|
|
David Johnson |
10 |
19:06 |
19:43 |
19:40 |
|
18:32 |
|
19:45 |
18:20 |
19:08 |
|
|
|
|
|
Michael Harman |
11 |
20:01 |
18:48 |
|
20:09 |
19:59 |
|
20:48 |
19:58 |
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
State Finals |
60.9% |
21.6 |
503 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
3.3 |
4.6 |
7.8 |
11.3 |
14.1 |
13.4 |
Semi-State |
100% |
6.0 |
201 |
0.4 |
1.8 |
5.7 |
16.1 |
17.9 |
19.1 |
16.8 |
11.8 |
6.6 |
2.7 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Regionals |
100% |
2.7 |
72 |
1.8 |
31.5 |
66.1 |
0.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sectionals |
100% |
1.7 |
40 |
32.5 |
67.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance. Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Andrew Warren |
80.3% |
69.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
49.7% |
71.0% |
Isaiah Hollars |
61.0% |
121.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.2% |
5.8% |
Paul Rushton |
60.9% |
148.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.2% |
Ben Iovino |
60.9% |
174.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
Andy Vilardo |
60.9% |
178.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
Jake Talbert |
60.9% |
199.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
Sean Coleman |
60.9% |
200.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Andrew Warren |
100% |
14.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.4 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.9 |
5.2 |
5.6 |
5.6 |
5.8 |
5.5 |
5.3 |
5.8 |
5.2 |
4.7 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
3.8 |
3.4 |
2.9 |
2.4 |
2.3 |
1.7 |
|
100.0% |
Isaiah Hollars |
100% |
33.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
|
100.0% |
Paul Rushton |
100% |
52.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
Ben Iovino |
100% |
85.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.8% |
Andy Vilardo |
100% |
90.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.5% |
Jake Talbert |
100% |
132.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
59.2% |
Sean Coleman |
100% |
134.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
54.4% |
Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Andrew Warren |
100% |
3.0 |
4.6 |
29.0 |
16.4 |
15.9 |
19.9 |
8.6 |
3.3 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Isaiah Hollars |
100% |
7.9 |
|
0.1 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
4.9 |
12.2 |
15.4 |
15.0 |
12.6 |
9.8 |
7.5 |
5.5 |
4.1 |
2.9 |
2.2 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Paul Rushton |
100% |
13.5 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
2.0 |
3.7 |
5.4 |
7.7 |
8.4 |
9.3 |
8.7 |
8.5 |
8.0 |
7.8 |
7.0 |
6.0 |
5.5 |
3.9 |
3.2 |
1.9 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
Ben Iovino |
100% |
21.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
4.3 |
5.7 |
6.6 |
7.6 |
9.0 |
9.5 |
9.6 |
8.9 |
8.0 |
|
100.0% |
Andy Vilardo |
100% |
22.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
6.4 |
7.9 |
8.9 |
10.1 |
9.4 |
9.4 |
|
100.0% |
Jake Talbert |
100% |
35.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
Sean Coleman |
100% |
36.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Andrew Warren |
1.5 |
5.9 |
80.7 |
10.0 |
2.6 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Isaiah Hollars |
3.9 |
|
0.4 |
28.3 |
23.8 |
18.9 |
11.9 |
6.6 |
4.8 |
3.3 |
1.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Paul Rushton |
7.4 |
|
|
0.8 |
4.8 |
9.5 |
14.5 |
15.6 |
11.9 |
11.9 |
13.9 |
11.7 |
4.2 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ben Iovino |
11.8 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
2.3 |
3.9 |
5.1 |
7.9 |
13.5 |
21.7 |
21.5 |
13.4 |
6.0 |
2.1 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
Andy Vilardo |
12.4 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
2.7 |
3.6 |
5.1 |
9.8 |
17.9 |
23.4 |
19.5 |
9.6 |
3.7 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
Jake Talbert |
18.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
2.1 |
5.9 |
10.7 |
12.2 |
11.9 |
10.8 |
10.2 |
11.7 |
9.7 |
6.3 |
3.8 |
2.4 |
Sean Coleman |
19.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.4 |
4.5 |
9.0 |
11.6 |
11.5 |
10.3 |
10.7 |
11.5 |
11.3 |
7.9 |
4.8 |
2.7 |
|